{"id":3775,"date":"2019-12-06T10:08:13","date_gmt":"2019-12-06T10:08:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.agust.net\/wordpress\/?p=3775"},"modified":"2022-12-12T15:49:13","modified_gmt":"2022-12-12T15:49:13","slug":"fridrik-danielsson-efnaverkfraedingur-loftslagsvisindi-hrjad-af-folsunum-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.agust.net\/wordpress\/2019\/12\/06\/fridrik-danielsson-efnaverkfraedingur-loftslagsvisindi-hrjad-af-folsunum-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Fri\u00f0rik Dan\u00edelsson efnaverkfr\u00e6\u00f0ingur: Loftslagsv\u00edsindi hrj\u00e1\u00f0 af f\u00f6lsunum . . ."},"content":{"rendered":"

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Morgunbla\u00f0i\u00f0 6. desember 2019<\/h6>\n

Loftslagsv\u00edsindi hrj\u00e1\u00f0 af f\u00f6lsunum<\/h1>\n

Eftir Fri\u00f0rik Dan\u00edelsson efnaverkfr\u00e6\u00f0ing<\/strong><\/h4>\n

(Leturbreytingar og sk\u00fdringarmynd: \u00e1hb – www.agust.net )<\/span><\/h4>\n

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\"Fri\u00f0rik<\/h4>\n

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“Ekki hefur veri\u00f0 s\u00fdnt fram \u00e1 me\u00f0 sannf\u00e6randi h\u00e6tti a\u00f0 aukning koltv\u00eds\u00fdrings \u00ed andr\u00famsloftinu hafi \u00e1kve\u00f0in \u00e1hrif \u00e1 loftslag”<\/span><\/p>\n

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Hin 123 \u00e1ra gamla kenning Arrheniusar<\/strong> um hl\u00fdnun loftslags af v\u00f6ldum koltv\u00eds\u00fdrings fr\u00e1 m\u00f6nnum hefur n\u00fa vaki\u00f0 sp\u00e1r um \u201ehamfarahl\u00fdnun\u201c. Arrheniusi yfirs\u00e1st meginatri\u00f0i\u00f0, \u00e1hrif loftrakans. H\u00e1lfum \u00e1ratug eftir a\u00f0 kenningin kom fram var h\u00fan hrakin af Knut \u00c5ngstr\u00f6m en hefur samt skoti\u00f0 upp kollinum \u00feegar ve\u00f0urlag hefur hl\u00fdna\u00f0 (eftir 1920 og 1980).<\/p>\n

Heimsendasp\u00e1r me\u00f0 f\u00f6lsunum<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Fyrir 10 \u00e1rum komust falsanir fyrir almannasj\u00f3nir (n\u00f3v. 2009, Climategate<\/a>) me\u00f0 birtingu t\u00f6lvubr\u00e9fa<\/a> fr\u00e1 \u201ev\u00edsindam\u00f6nnum\u201c<\/strong>. \u00der\u00e1tt fyrir \u00fea\u00f0 hafa sp\u00e1rnar haldi\u00f0 \u00e1fram og eru n\u00fa or\u00f0nar a\u00f0 heimsendasp\u00e1m sem meginfj\u00f6lmi\u00f0lar, stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1lamenn, samt\u00f6k og fyrirt\u00e6ki taka \u00fe\u00e1tt \u00ed. Sk\u00f3gareldar, \u00f3ve\u00f0ur, br\u00e1\u00f0nun, s\u00farnun og hverskyns breytingar eru tengdar vi\u00f0 \u201eloftslagsbreytingar\u201c. V\u00edsindat\u00edmarit og jafnvel v\u00edsindaf\u00e9l\u00f6g hafa gert sig ber a\u00f0 hylmingum. En \u00fea\u00f0 sem er mest \u00f3gnvekjandi er a\u00f0 falsanirnar koma n\u00fa m.a. fr\u00e1 \u00e1\u00f0ur virtum stofnunum.Millir\u00edkjanefnd Sameinu\u00f0u \u00fej\u00f3\u00f0anna um loftslagsbreytingar (IPCC) hefur sent fr\u00e1 s\u00e9r vondar sp\u00e1r \u00e1 grunni v\u00edsindafalsana \u00ed \u00e1ratugi. \u201eStofnsetning IPCC var st\u00f3rslys \u00ed s\u00f6gu v\u00edsindanna. Hreint p\u00f3lit\u00edsk stofnun l\u00e1tin koma fram sem v\u00edsindastofnun \u2013\u201c (Prof. em. J. Brignell, Englandi). Sk\u00fdrsla IPCC nr. 25, sem r\u00e6dd ver\u00f0ur \u00ed Madrid n\u00fa \u00ed desember, er me\u00f0 svipa\u00f0a sp\u00e1 og fyrri sk\u00fdrslur sem allar reyndust falskar. Margir helstu v\u00edsindamennirnir sem \u00e1\u00f0ur st\u00f6rfu\u00f0u me\u00f0 nefndinni eru h\u00e6ttir og hafa afhj\u00fapa\u00f0 falsanirnar: \u201e…m\u00f3\u00f0urs\u00fdkishla\u00f0in sk\u00fdrsla fr\u00e1 valdagr\u00e1\u00f0ugri stofnun \u2013 \u00f3l\u00edkleg \u00e1giskun studd af f\u00f6lskum s\u00f6nnunarg\u00f6gnum og endurtekin endalaust\u201c (Prof. em. R. Linzen, USA). \u201e…sumar fullyr\u00f0ingar nefndarinnar falla undir skilgreininguna andv\u00edsindaleg heimska…\u201c (Prof. em. A. M\u00f6rner, Sv\u00ed\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0). Al\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0ave\u00f0urfr\u00e6\u00f0istofnunin (WMO) og Umhverfisstofnun Sameinu\u00f0u \u00fej\u00f3\u00f0anna (UNEP) hafa teki\u00f0 \u00fe\u00e1tt \u00ed \u00e1r\u00f3\u00f0ri me\u00f0 Millir\u00edkjanefndinni. Skriffinnar Sameinu\u00f0u \u00fej\u00f3\u00f0anna og ESB hafa reynt a\u00f0 lei\u00f0a \u00e1r\u00f3\u00f0urinn fyrir \u201ehamfarahl\u00fdnuninni\u201c.<\/p>\n

Vanda\u00f0ar ranns\u00f3knastofnanir \u00ed allnokkrum l\u00f6ndum hafa lei\u00f0st me\u00f0 \u00ed falsanirnar.<\/strong> \u00de\u00e6r f\u00e1 fj\u00e1rveitingar fr\u00e1 stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1lam\u00f6nnum (r\u00edkinu) til \u201eloftslagsranns\u00f3kna\u201c me\u00f0an \u00fe\u00e6r geta haldi\u00f0 \u00f3gninni um hl\u00fdnun lifandi. Eftir a\u00f0 lj\u00f3st var\u00f0 a\u00f0 loftslagshl\u00fdnunin 1980-2000 var h\u00e6tt t\u00f3ku vissar stofnanir a\u00f0 \u201ea\u00f0laga\u201c eldri hitam\u00e6lingar a\u00f0 l\u00edk\u00f6num um hvernig loftslagi\u00f0 \u201e\u00e6tti a\u00f0 breytast\u201c samkv\u00e6mt \u00feeirra kenningum. \u00de\u00e6r t\u00f3ku a\u00f0 breyta m\u00e6ligildunum fyrir hitastigi\u00f0, eldri gildi \u201ek\u00e6ld\u201c en n\u00fdrri \u201ehitu\u00f0\u201c til \u00feess a\u00f0 s\u00fdna hl\u00fdnun. \u201eHafs- og andr\u00famsloftsstofnunin (NOAA) \u2013 hefur mikilv\u00e6gt hlutverk \u2013 m\u00e6la hita \u00ed Bandar\u00edkjunum. \u00dev\u00ed mi\u00f0ur s\u00fdnist stofnunin vera fangi tr\u00faarbrag\u00f0anna um hnatthl\u00fdnun. Uppl\u00fdsingar stofnunarinnar eru falsa\u00f0ar…\u201c\u00a0(Investor’s Business Daily 29.3. 2018)\u00a0<\/em>. Undirstofnun NASA, GISS, hefur gefi\u00f0 \u00fat \u201ea\u00f0laga\u00f0ar\u201c hitat\u00f6lur fyrir Bandar\u00edkin \u00ed nokkur \u00e1r. \u201eFramlei\u00f0sla hl\u00fdnunar: NASA GISS breytir n\u00fa \u00f3a\u00f0l\u00f6gu\u00f0um hitam\u00e6lingum til \u00feess a\u00f0 b\u00faa til n\u00fd og heitari a\u00f0l\u00f6gu\u00f0 hitastig…\u201c\u00a0(No Trick Zone 31.3. 2019)\u00a0<\/em>. N\u00fdlega hefur komi\u00f0 fram grunur um a\u00f0 l\u00edka s\u00e9 fari\u00f0 a\u00f0 \u201ea\u00f0laga\u201c gervihnattam\u00e6lingarnar sem hafa veri\u00f0 taldar s\u00e6milega \u00f6ruggar.<\/p>\n

\u00d6ruggar hitam\u00e6lingar s\u00fdna ekki markt\u00e6ka hl\u00fdnun s\u00ed\u00f0ustu 80 \u00e1rin \u00ed Bandar\u00edkjunum e\u00f0a vi\u00f0 str\u00f6nd \u00cdslands a\u00f0 N-Atlantshafinu n\u00e9 heldur \u00ed \u00f6\u00f0rum r\u00edkjum Nor\u00f0urlanda.<\/strong> \u00cd Japan hefur loftslag k\u00f3lna\u00f0 s\u00ed\u00f0ustu \u00e1ratugi\u00a0(GHCN v3 Unadjusted; Engin varanleg hl\u00fdnun loftslags \u00e1 su\u00f0urstr\u00f6ndinni 80 \u00e1r\/Frj\u00e1lst land; World Climate, Tokyo Climate Center)\u00a0<\/em>. Hl\u00fdnun var \u00e1 \u00e1runum 1920-1940 og aftur 1980-2000, hl\u00fdjustu \u00e1rin fr\u00e1 upphafi \u00f6ruggra m\u00e6linga voru fyrir og um 1940.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00f3fasta v\u00edsindaf\u00f6lsunin er a\u00f0 aukinn koltv\u00eds\u00fdringur \u00ed lofthj\u00fapnum h\u00e6kki hitastigi\u00f0 \u00e1 j\u00f6r\u00f0inni.<\/strong> Koltv\u00eds\u00fdringsstyrkur loftsins hefur vaxi\u00f0 \u00far 0,03% \u00ed 0,04% \u00e1 einni \u00f6ld. Ef aukningin skyldi halda \u00e1fram \u00ed svipu\u00f0um takti ver\u00f0ur styrkurinn or\u00f0inn 0,7% eins og \u00e1 bl\u00f3mat\u00edma gr\u00f3\u00f0ursins eftir um 3.000 \u00e1r og fastlandi\u00f0 or\u00f0i\u00f0 vel gr\u00e6nt. \u00dea\u00f0 er \u00fe\u00f3 \u00f3l\u00edklegt, a\u00f0eins er vita\u00f0 um r\u00famlega 1.000 \u00e1ra birg\u00f0ir af jar\u00f0efnaeldsneyti (samanlagt) \u00ed jar\u00f0skorpunni ef notkunin ver\u00f0ur \u00f3breytt. Einnig vex upptaka lands og sj\u00e1var (er n\u00fa um 30-f\u00f6ld losun manna) me\u00f0 auknum styrk og n\u00e6r me\u00f0 t\u00edmanum a\u00f0 taka upp alla vi\u00f0b\u00f3tarlosunina.<\/p>\n

E\u00f0lisefnafr\u00e6\u00f0ileg l\u00f6gm\u00e1l s\u00fdna a\u00f0 \u00feau litlu \u00e1hrif sem koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn hefur \u00e1 hitastigi\u00f0 \u00ed lofthj\u00fapnum eru \u00feegar a\u00f0 mestu komin fram.<\/strong> Koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn sem er n\u00fa \u00feegar \u00ed lofthj\u00fapnum tekur upp n\u00e6r alla varmageislun sem hann getur teki\u00f0 upp en \u00fea\u00f0 er \u00e1 bylgjulengdunum 2,7, 4,3 og 15 m\u00edkr\u00f3n. \u00datstreymi varmageislunar \u00fat \u00far lofthj\u00fapnum er ekki \u00e1 \u00feeim bylgjulengdum heldur \u00e1 8-12 m\u00edkr\u00f3n sem koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn getur ekki teki\u00f0 upp. Auki\u00f0 magn af koltv\u00eds\u00fdringi \u00ed loftinu breytir \u00feessu ekki sem \u00fe\u00fd\u00f0ir a\u00f0 styrkur koltv\u00eds\u00fdringsins \u00ed andr\u00famsloftinu hefur hverfandi \u00e1hrif \u00e1 hitastigi\u00f0 \u00e1 j\u00f6r\u00f0inni. Metan hefur s\u00f6mulei\u00f0is hverfandi \u00e1hrif af s\u00f6mu \u00e1st\u00e6\u00f0um. \u00dea\u00f0 er geislaupptaka loftrakans sem er yfirgn\u00e6fandi og veldur obbanum af gr\u00f3\u00f0urh\u00fasa\u00e1hrifunum.<\/p>\n

\u201e…\u00fea\u00f0 hefur ekki veri\u00f0 s\u00fdnt fram \u00e1 me\u00f0 sannf\u00e6randi h\u00e6tti a\u00f0 aukning CO\u00a02\u00a0<\/sub>\u00ed andr\u00famsloftinu hafi \u00e1kve\u00f0in \u00e1hrif \u00e1 loftslag.\u201c (Prof. em. D. Thoenes, Hollandi)<\/em><\/p>\n

Af ranns\u00f3knum f\u00e6rustu \u00f3h\u00e1\u00f0ra v\u00edsindamanna er or\u00f0i\u00f0 lj\u00f3st a\u00f0 aukinn koltv\u00eds\u00fdringur \u00ed lofthj\u00fapnum hefur hverfandi \u00e1hrif \u00e1 loftslagi\u00f0 \u00e1 j\u00f6r\u00f0inni.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

H\u00f6fundur er efnaverkfr\u00e6\u00f0ingur.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

(Leturbreytingar og sk\u00fdringarmynd: \u00e1hb – www.agust.net )<\/span><\/p>\n

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Myndin s\u00fdnir geislauppt\u00f6ku lofthj\u00fapsins. Toppurinn til h\u00e6gri efst s\u00fdnir \u00fatstreymi varmageislunar \u00fat \u00far lofthj\u00fapnum. \u00dear s\u00e9st a\u00f0 \u00e1 bylgjulengdum sem koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn (carbon dioxide) getur teki\u00f0 upp (4,3 og 14,9 m\u00edkr\u00f3n e\u00f0a \u03bcm) sleppur hverfandi varmageislun \u00fat (hv\u00edt sv\u00e6\u00f0i).\u00a0 \u00a0Sj\u00e1 fyrirlestur Dr. William Happer pr\u00f3fessor emeritus Princeton University:\u00a0<\/span> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=o5HYbAkVXuU<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

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(Leturbreytingar og sk\u00fdringarmynd: \u00e1hb – www.agust.net )<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00cdtarefni:<\/em><\/h1>\n
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Fri\u00f0rik skrifar:\u00a0 “…E\u00f0lisefnafr\u00e6\u00f0ileg l\u00f6gm\u00e1l s\u00fdna a\u00f0 \u00feau litlu \u00e1hrif sem koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn hefur \u00e1 hitastigi\u00f0 \u00ed lofthj\u00fapnum eru \u00feegar a\u00f0 mestu komin fram.<\/strong> Koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn sem er n\u00fa \u00feegar \u00ed lofthj\u00fapnum tekur upp n\u00e6r alla varmageislun sem hann getur teki\u00f0 upp en \u00fea\u00f0 er \u00e1 bylgjulengdunum 2,7, 4,3 og 15 m\u00edkr\u00f3n. \u00datstreymi varmageislunar \u00fat \u00far lofthj\u00fapnum er ekki \u00e1 \u00feeim bylgjulengdum heldur \u00e1 8-12 m\u00edkr\u00f3n sem koltv\u00eds\u00fdringurinn getur ekki teki\u00f0 upp. Auki\u00f0 magn af koltv\u00eds\u00fdringi \u00ed loftinu breytir \u00feessu ekki sem \u00fe\u00fd\u00f0ir a\u00f0 styrkur koltv\u00eds\u00fdringsins \u00ed andr\u00famsloftinu hefur hverfandi \u00e1hrif \u00e1 hitastigi\u00f0 \u00e1 j\u00f6r\u00f0inni. Metan hefur s\u00f6mulei\u00f0is hverfandi \u00e1hrif af s\u00f6mu \u00e1st\u00e6\u00f0um. \u00dea\u00f0 er geislaupptaka loftrakans sem er yfirgn\u00e6fandi og veldur obbanum af gr\u00f3\u00f0urh\u00fasa\u00e1hrifunum”.<\/em><\/h6>\n

\nHva\u00f0 segir Dr. William Happer pr\u00f3fessor emeritus \u00ed e\u00f0lisfr\u00e6\u00f0i vi\u00f0 Princeton h\u00e1sk\u00f3la<\/strong> um \u00fea\u00f0?<\/h4>\n

Friends of Science:<\/strong><\/h2>\n

According to the physicist W. Happer there will be little effect for a doubling of the rate of CO2<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

by Prof. Dr. Jean N., Faculty of Sciences, European University<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a9 2022Originally published in French on\u00a0Science, Climat, Energie<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

According to the physicist W. Happer there will be little effect for a doubling of the rate of CO2<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

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\u00deessi myndb\u00f6nd r\u00edma ef til\u00a0 vill vi\u00f0 pistil Fri\u00f0riks Dan\u00edelssonar:<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Dr. William Happer pr\u00f3fessor<\/a> emeritus \u00ed e\u00f0lisfr\u00e6\u00f0i vi\u00f0 Princeton h\u00e1sk\u00f3la:
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Greenhouse Effect of Methane, Nitrous Oxide and Carbon Dioxide<\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n